Evolution and Timeline
A search of the internet to find a timeline of the origin and evolution of the CCP Virus can lead to many different variations with considerable differences. Wikipedia has a timeline with details from probable inception to date. As can be seen, an individual began showing CCP Virus like symptoms on 1Dec2019. Considering the incubation period for the CCP Virus it is probable infection occurred between 17Nov2019 and 28Nov2019. This is much earlier than Chinese Authorities have been willing to admit. This first individual apparently had no link to the Huanan Wet Market.
The following day, 2Dec2019, there was a Doctor admitted to Hospital with similar symptoms that later developed into ARDS (acute respiratory distress syndrome), the symptom everyone is concerned about generally leading to the use of a ventilator. No information has been reported on where these two cases may have made contact with the virus. Later in the month numerous cases of a pneumonia like infection were reported and these ultimately led to rising concern within China and the identification of the CCP Virus. (At least that is the current party line.) Several of the cases were linked to the Huanan Wet Market but not all.
What is interesting, is the early potential cases which have not been traced to a patient zero. It is now known many individuals can be exposed and carry the CCP Virus without demonstrating any symptoms. This could be why no patient zero has ever been identified. In recent weeks I have seen reports of several doctors, here in the United States, who also saw patients during the month of December showing flu like symptoms but that tested negative for the flu. These doctors now believe these may have been early cases of CCP Virus. How long the virus has actually been in the wild will probably never be determined definitively but it is probably somewhere between September and November of 2019.
Antibody Testing Shows Greater Infection Rate
With the recent development of rapid antibody testing for the CCP Virus, studies are being carried out in several locations to determine how widely spread the CCP Virus actually is. Both Abbott Labs and United Biomedical Group have developed these tests which are available for use. The results are showing infection rates are much higher than confirmed cases and this ultimately meant the mortality rate is much lower than previously predicted. Likely very close to the rate for seasonal flu. It, also, indicates there is now greater herd immunity than just the recoverees from confirmed cases. Many more people are becoming infected and resolving without doctor or hospital intervention. All of this is good news, fantastic even. As more data is forthcoming it should be much easier to get regions of the country back to work.
